Also notable that they mentioned repeatedly that: 1. Polls in key swing states like Michigan have been consistently bad over the years, and there hasn't been a

Also notable that they mentioned repeatedly that: 1. Polls in key swing states like Michigan have been consistently bad over the years, and there hasn't been a lot of high quality polling in those states during the election, which meant there was a lot of uncertainty in those states. 2. State polls tend to be correlated. That means if the polling is off in Michigan, it'd probably be off in Pennsylvania and Wisconsin as well, and in the same direction. And, what a shock, all of them were tipping point states, and all of them had polling errors that swung in Trump's favour. 3. Trump was well within the polling error of winning by election time. That is, while FiveThirtyEight had Hillary with 2-1 odds, that was with significant errors bars due to uncertainty, and it runs both ways. To be honest, listening to their podcast and reading their posts, I was preparing myself for a potential Trump win.