2 ms·
the polls were not expecting a globalist establishment incumbent vs a nationalist populist outsider. the polls treated him like GOP candidate, when he was more
by basch 10y ago
the polls were not expecting a globalist establishment incumbent vs a nationalist populist outsider. the polls treated him like GOP candidate, when he was more of a parasite to the party, using its skin to get on every ballet as a "top two" candidate.
at least Nate Silver's part two to this piece will include "i was less confident than most others" https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pundit-and-screwed-up-on-donald-trump/ https://fivethirtyeight.com/features/how-i-acted-like-a-pund...
Silver really took Trump's ascension to the GOP throne as a lesson. http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/nate-silver-huffington-post-polls-twitter-230815 http://www.politico.com/story/2016/11/nate-silver-huffington...