3 ms·
Wtf? Why would anyone not take this bet? Even if you didn't think Trump was going to win (I didn't) this is obviously absurd EV.
by jinfiesto 10y ago
Wtf? Why would anyone not take this bet? Even if you didn't think Trump was going to win (I didn't) this is obviously absurd EV.
- wtfishackernews 10y agoBecause $1000 is a lot of money for some people
- phyalow 10y agoNo its I give you ten dollars, if trump wins you give me ten thousand dollars, else you keep my ten.
- wtfishackernews 10y agoI was under the impression that it had to be $1000, but it doesn't matter anyway. If you bet $10 on everything that seems highly unlikely but may pay out a lot, you will end up losing money very quickly.
- phyalow 10y agoWhy do you say that? its called selling risk premium... I don't see many insurance underwriters blowing up!