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538 gave more than 25% chance to Trump winning. That's losing two coin flips, not "totally unexpected".
by Strilanc 10y ago
538 gave more than 25% chance to Trump winning. That's losing two coin flips, not "totally unexpected".
- rl3 10y agoThe degree by which Trump won is the "totally unexpected" part.
- OscarCunningham 10y agoOnly just? He even lost the popular vote.
- tim333 10y agoAnd in fairness to Nate, he was saying the polls were about 42 Trump 45 Clinton with ~13% undecided and those undecideds could send the election either way. With hindsight I'd say quite a few undecideds were Trump supporters who were afraid to admit it which I can understand. Just look at the reaction to Theil backing Trump with various calls for him to be fired. I can see why people kept quiet about it.