4 ms·
Just tell me, how all those polls got it wrong. People were afraid of telling what they really want?
by sccxy 10y ago
Just tell me, how all those polls got it wrong.
People were afraid of telling what they really want?
- adrr 10y agoBecause it polls likely voters. The unlikely voters came out and voted.
- laichzeit0 10y agoThe LA times poll did not get it wrong.
- jonknee 10y agoYea it did, she will probably take the popular vote. It was the state polls that were the problem.
- cobalt 10y agoextrapolation
- tnmrnis 10y agoWe don't really know yet. There are two (quite likely) possible options. A shift in the voter demographics and/or the "shy tory" (people not admitting to vote conservative because a negative social consequences). Polls are never truely objective even if they try to be. You always have underlying assumptions about how to get a representative sample. The third option would be that the polls were rigged. After reading the leaked Podesta mails this doesn't seem too unlikely but still less likely then other possible reasons.
- sickbeard 10y agoFBI effect was not captured in the polls