Frankly i find a repeating pattern with all tech development. You have a early "runway" phase where you get the basics hammered out, then you get a near vertic

Frankly i find a repeating pattern with all tech development. You have a early "runway" phase where you get the basics hammered out, then you get a near vertical phase as those basics get rapidly refined. Then it plateaus as those the ROI on those refinements worsen. Between the 60s and now we have had multiples of these "S" curves happen back to back. And now most, or all, are plateauing.