7 ms·
> If the female birth control pill had the same safety profile, it would be the leading cause of death in 20-45 year old women. How did you calculate this (gen
by tomp 10y ago
> If the female birth control pill had the same safety profile, it would be the leading cause of death in 20-45 year old women.
How did you calculate this (genuinely curious, I need some explanation for idiots who're misquoting this trial as "men are wimps")?
- ezzaf 10y agoIf it's based on the one suicide and extrapolating to a death rate of 0.3%, I'd call it a bit of a stretch. Yes that would make it the leading cause of death if it did continue, but given the tiny sample size and single occurence (which may or may not be related), I don't think you can draw any conclusion. Given that uncertainty concluding the study to work on the drug before trialling it again makes a lot of sense.
- cperciva 10y agoExtrapolating from one death + one failed suicide attempt + a large number of mood disorders. ezzaf is quite right that you shouldn't extrapolate from the one death alone, since that might have simply been a statistical fluke (although even one suicide is outside of the 95% range for this population and duration of study), but it becomes far more statistically powerful when supported by other side effects which are known to strongly correlate with suicides.