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But realistically how long will it take for canvas and HTML 5 to catch up with similar market penetration? 10 years? Certainly not less than 5.
by mclin 16y ago
But realistically how long will it take for canvas and HTML 5 to catch up with similar market penetration? 10 years? Certainly not less than 5.
- not_an_alien 16y agoIt took them what, 10 years to start proposing what Flash has done in 5. And considering... * The plans for the standard to be completed will still take around 10 years * Flash can move at a much faster pace in development * Flash penetration gets to 90% in less than one year * Browser penetration moves very slowly - 8 years after release, MSIE 6 is still at 22% ...do you really think things will improve that much in 5 years? I can't wait for 5 years to pass by. When Flash (and Silverlight) are even more improved, when they're still evolving, when Flash is widely used in mobile devices (other than the ones built by one rotten Apple), when HTML5 is still a mess for development, when cross-browser HTML support is still wild west, and when HTML5 is still unrealistic for Real-World development due to lack of penetration... that's when reality will start hitting people in the face. But hey, maybe another 5 years later? Who knows.