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Rognlie also makes important critiques of Piketty's argument.[1] Piketty makes strong claims resting on declining labor share of capital. This is true, but is d
by jvm 10y ago
Rognlie also makes important critiques of Piketty's argument.[1] Piketty makes strong claims resting on declining labor share of capital. This is true, but is driven largely by an increase in owner-occupied rents in real estate, which suggests interpretations very different from Pikettys; namely that redistribution in the form of zoning and development restrictions has been the key driver rather than changes in the relative value of productive capital. From Rognlie's abstract:
>>> Overall, the net capital share has increased since 1948, but when disaggregated this increase comes entirely from the housing sector: the contribution to net capital income from all other sectors has been zero or slightly negative, as the fall and rise have offset each other. When decomposed into a return on fixed assets and a residual share of pure profits, the fall and rise of capital income outside the housing sector in the US owes mostly to the residual: it is not paralleled by fluctuations in the measured value of non-housing capital. This observation—combined with the theory of factor substitution, and simulation results from a multisector model—casts doubt on explanations of changes in the net capital share that rely on changes in the value of capital. There is greater support in the data for narratives that emphasize cyclical and trend variation in market power.
For a summary in layman's terms, I'd suggest Noah Smith in [2]. Note that Noah has Keynesian sympathies and is not particularly right leaning.
[1] https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/2015a_rognlie.pdf https://www.brookings.edu/wp-content/uploads/2016/07/2015a_r...
[2] https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-03-27/piketty-s-three-big-mistakes-in-inequality-analysis https://www.bloomberg.com/view/articles/2015-03-27/piketty-s...
- js8 10y agoThis is perhaps a bit controversial, but I just can't take seriously any critique of Piketty that doesn't look at least 150 years back like he did. He (and his coworkers) did a lot of legwork on about 200-300 years of history, it's just amazing. You cannot dismiss his theory just on the basis of 50 years. As you write: "redistribution in the form of zoning and development restrictions has been the key driver" - how do you know that without looking further back in time? It's like criticizing Galileo by saying "speed of fall of most objects is influenced by air resistance". It's a true statement, in a limited context (the Earth), but it doesn't disprove first Newton's law.