2 ms·
I hope you are right, but the progress with deep learning and AI has snowballed in the last few years. At least that's my perception. > I believe that even tru
by noir-york 10y ago
I hope you are right, but the progress with deep learning and AI has snowballed in the last few years. At least that's my perception.
> I believe that even truckers will be safe well into the next decade. They don't add all that much cost to the overall costs of shipping goods
I do not know about the US, but in Europe labour costs are high and there are laws on number of hours that truckers can work. Self-driving trucks can be on the road 24 hours a day all year round, with no unions or human resources to manage.
- throwawayReply 10y agoNo human resources? Who's gonna fill up the tank? Fewer human resources, certainly. But humans are very flexible. In the containerised shipping world that doesn't add huge value, but for a taxi some flexibility is a value-add, be it changing your mind about your destination or falling ill suddenly (when you probably can't just log in and change your destination) are examples of when people are well served by human operators. Self automation has to become cheap enough that the premium of having people drive is worth losing compared to the price difference. It isn't enough to just have tje technology at a level it can serve.
- sokoloff 10y agoFewer people would likely die from falling ill suddenly and undetected than currently perish from human-caused accidents. I suspect fewer would perish from sudden medical events in cars overall as a medical event no longer means a likely crash.