It's tough to evaluate the usefulness of the 80% claim without a baseline. If a simple heuristic of "plaintiff wins" is correct 85% of the time, the model isn'

It's tough to evaluate the usefulness of the 80% claim without a baseline. If a simple heuristic of "plaintiff wins" is correct 85% of the time, the model isn't that impressive. In the long run, such a model would likely be confounded by the parties, who'd model and adapt their arguments to drive the model to a favorable result or settle cases where the model provides a strong signal to which they can't adapt. (Which is not to suggest that this wouldn't be a very socially valuable result.)