"The Primary Model relies on presidential primaries as a predictor of the vote in the general election. For the record, the Primary Model, with slight modificat

"The Primary Model relies on presidential primaries as a predictor of the vote in the general election. For the record, the Primary Model, with slight modifications, has correctly predicted the winner of the popular vote in all five presidential elections since it was introduced in 1996. In recent elections the forecast has been issued as early as January of the election year." If I'm reading it correctly this isn't a new prediction; this is a new article about the Primary Model's existing prediction dating from March 7 of this year.