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It was very close, something like 51:49. The predictions circulating before the vote may have influenced the result. Apparently more Remainers would have bother
by HSO 10y ago
It was very close, something like 51:49. The predictions circulating before the vote may have influenced the result. Apparently more Remainers would have bothered to vote if the predictions had not been so clearly in favor of Remain. It's a tragedy, really, that something so important would be decided on so flippantly.
This, by the way, is another weakness (or limitation) of prediction markets. They should probably not be applied to matters where the prediction interacts with the "predictee" lest you enter a "Keynesian beauty contest".
- hueving 10y agoOr more of the exiters would have voted if they weren't discouraged by being told it was a big loss. That sword cuts both ways.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- verbify 10y agoBiased sample here, but I spoke to multiple people with 'bregret' - they told me they only voted for brexit because they thought it wouldn't happen and wanted to stick it to the man. The stupidity of these people boggles my mind, but there you have it. And nobody predicted a big loss - it was going to be close either way.
- xamuel 10y ago>a tragedy that something so important would be decided on so flippantly If so, it was an even bigger tragedy when the UK joined the EU in the first place, there was NO vote for that.