3 ms·
Here is a US election prediction market: http://tippie.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/ http://tippie.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/ The "Winner Takes All" market predicts Trump vs Clin
by n00b101 10y ago
Here is a US election prediction market: http://tippie.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/ http://tippie.biz.uiowa.edu/iem/
The "Winner Takes All" market predicts Trump vs Clinton presidency: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres16_WTA.cfm https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/graphs/graph_Pres16_WTA.cfm
According to this, after last night's performance, Trump has an 8% probability of becoming the 45th President of the United States of America, while Clinton has a 92% probability.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- hueving 10y agoHow big is the pool of participants in that particular market? It's not that interesting if it's only 20 or so participants.
- zbyte64 10y agoCouldn't find the number of participants but over 100,000 shares have been issued: https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketinfo_english.cfm?Market_ID=362 https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/WebEx/marketinfo_english.cfm?Ma...