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He talks about the time estimate in the book. He says he understood the need for a time estimate, and so gives the one he thinks is best. But the important thin
by bcgraham 10y ago
He talks about the time estimate in the book. He says he understood the need for a time estimate, and so gives the one he thinks is best. But the important thing is that he feels confident it will happen before artificial intelligence that isn't full-brain emulation, whether that's in one century or four centuries.
- RobinHanson 10y ago"confident" is too strong. I think the chance is high enough to make the premise worth considering in this detail.