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Why on earth should the average person make an investment with significant leverage? The only reason, ever, to make an investment with leverage is if there is
by bokonist 17y ago
Why on earth should the average person make an investment with significant leverage? The only reason, ever, to make an investment with leverage is if there is some arbitrage opportunity that requires a large amount of capital to make money from. But by definition, the average person is not going to be able to identify arbitrage opportunities in the housing market.
The real reasons to invest in housing are: a) diversification (so not everything is in bonds or stocks) b) excellent tax treatment c) excellent political protection d) interest rates that are often lower than the monetary inflation rate (by monetary inflation rate I mean growth in M*V - nominal income growth). However, at this point, all the above factors are already capitalized into the price of housing. So at this point there is not much of an economic benefit to buying housing.
- groaner 17y agoThe "average person" quite possibly thinks he/she is above average in terms of identifying such opportunities (cf. Lake Wobegon effect). On top of that, there are government initiatives to "encourage home ownership" and to protect "homeowners" even if they bet completely wrong or obtained loans they couldn't possibly have qualified for if the lender had any common sense. These will tip the balance in favor of going into the housing market.