5 ms·
I think you forgot one: Hillary Clinton - President of the United States
by xadhominemx 10y ago
I think you forgot one:
Hillary Clinton - President of the United States
- justavoice 10y agoand if that happens - Big losers: the citizens of the United States of America
- 464192002d7fe1c 10y agoBest case scenario for her: she's elected as the least-liked president in history.
- CalChris 10y agoLeast liked would and will be George W Bush. He lost the popular vote in 2000 by more than 500,000 votes. He exited office with a 30% approval rating.
- 464192002d7fe1c 10y agoapproval rating is different than favorability, which was what I meant (I should have used the more specific term). In any event, if she's elected, she will have 4 years to drop below 30%, its an easy goal.
- cmdrfred 10y agoShe's at 41%[0] (38% among only registered voters, Trump is at 37% by the same metric) and falling favorably wise, Bush was also at 41%[1] when he was inaugurated but around 47% - 48% at this point in the election. Given her probable "private position" on TPP and other anti-worker policies that number will be lower than Bush (his personal worst in office is 29%), and in half the time. Democrats should hope that she steps down or is impeached, as it will be impossible for her to win the election in 4 years as an incumbent. [0]https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/31/a-record-number-of-americans-now-dislike-hillary-clinton/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2016/08/31/a-... [1]http://www.pollingreport.com/BushFav.htm http://www.pollingreport.com/BushFav.htm
- AnimalMuppet 10y ago> ... as it will be impossible for her to win the election in 4 years as an incumbent. It should be impossible for her to win re-election in four years. But it also should have been impossible for her to win this year. All the Republicans had to do was run somebody moderately competent. But...
- cmdrfred 10y agoLooking at the numbers, all they have to do is not pick Donald Trump. Carson is at 44% (8% never heard of him and 12% report they have no opinion) right now with no advertising spend. Assuming he doesn't have some dark past we don't know about in 4 years, against Clinton it's not even a contest.
- dragonwriter 10y agoRelative favorability isn't much of a guide to incumbent vs. challenger elections, though I think there is some evidence that it has some loose utility as a predictor of open-seat elections. (OTOH, the incumbent's approval -- not favorability -- seems to be a strong predictor for incumbent reelection.)
- dragonwriter 10y agoAFAIK, there's not much evidence of a particular link between favorability (as opposed to approval) and reelection prospects, and even less for pre-election favorability and reelection prospects.
- cmdrfred 10y agoI don't know of a study, but if 70%+ of the country dislikes you it will be difficult to get elected.
- white-flame 10y agoTrump is basically preventing her from losing.
- ktRolster 10y agoAndrew Johnson has her beat for that honor.
- 464192002d7fe1c 10y agoHard to compare to someone who was never elected and served prior to the advent of modern communication or even polling to determine things like that (hardly implying that I consider modern polling authoritative).
- mikestew 10y agoSo, then, how modern do our choices for comparison have to be? Or are you willing to keep producing eliminating qualities so that you can continue with your narrative about Clinton?
- whamlastxmas 10y agoAnd gets a full pardon "so we can stop being distracted by politics and get to the real work".