>Thanks for catching my mistake, I was referring to the first link when I said it "requires the prior knowledge of a bug hit rate". Odd, since the rest of that

>Thanks for catching my mistake, I was referring to the first link when I said it "requires the prior knowledge of a bug hit rate". Odd, since the rest of that sentence discussed a blog post, and the first link is a Wikipedia article, while the second is a blog post. Nothing in the German Tank problem corresponds to prior knowledge of a rate of any kind. The word "rate" does not even appear on the page. It does appear in the blog post. Your repeated intellectual dishonesty makes further discussion pointless. You are bizarrely resistant to admit there is an entire field called software defect estimation, or that future trends for bugs are not independent with current bugs. I give up like everyone else in your thread.