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The record-breaking Republican turnout was due to Trump, and I think it is reasonable to believe that the vast majority of Republicans will vote Trump over Hill
by Tsugumo 10y ago
The record-breaking Republican turnout was due to Trump, and I think it is reasonable to believe that the vast majority of Republicans will vote Trump over Hillary, or 3rd party. At the same time, many independents and Bernie supporters will vote Trump as well. In my mind, Trump is the Republican Obama, and will benefit from many first-time voters, and a large turnout in general. It does not seem to me that Hillary has the same draw. I don't mean to argue with you, only to clarify.
- threeseed 10y agoYou're confused again. Trump had record breaking PRIMARY turnout. All polls taken so far have him only getting about 40% of Republicans. And there is no evidence what so ever that he is drawing in independents or Bernie supporters at any significant rate. He is down by on average 7 points nationally for a reason.
- rconti 10y agoCorrection: 75% of Republicans, 40% overall. He seems to have a fairly hard ceiling. His support among Republicans is shockingly low, but likely to rebound a bit to keep it from being a total blowout.
- savagej 10y agoYou're off by 2X. Well over 80% of GOP is voting Trump. http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/for-many-gop-women-party-loyalty-trumps-personal-affront/ http://fivethirtyeight.com/features/for-many-gop-women-party...
- ting_bu_dung 10y agoyou seem to live in a delusional fantasy where angry white uneducated men are the only voters in the country
- sctb 10y agoWe've banned this account for repeatedly violating the guidelines.