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Looking at this specific poll in isolation is fine as long as you understand that you are looking at it in isolation. I say so because of its polling methodolo
by blhack 10y ago
Looking at this specific poll in isolation is fine as long as you understand that you are looking at it in isolation.
I say so because of its polling methodology, which is unique.
If you're a politics/polling nerd, this poll is interesting. If you're not, then yes, you are probably better off either just reading 538, or looking at the RCP polling average.
https://news.usc.edu/109339/why-the-usc-dornsifel-a-times-presidential-poll-is-unlike-other-polls/ https://news.usc.edu/109339/why-the-usc-dornsifel-a-times-pr...
- threeseed 10y agoMost politics/polling nerds look at aggregations of polls. Not sure where you get this idea that they are interested in a poll like USC which is such an outlier.
- blhack 10y agoThe fact that it's an outlier doesn't interest you? Maybe we have different definitions of "nerd".
- thesimpsons1022 10y agojust stop man. you're sounding desperate. no one is buying it
- snovv_crash 10y agoThe fact that it's an outlier means, statistically, that it is more likely to be wrong.
- sagarm 10y agoYes, it's more likely to be wrong. But this poll performed well in 2012[1] with the same methodology. As a polling nerd, wouldn't you be interested in why it is producing unusual results this year and what implications that might have for polling in general? [1] http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-poll-faq-20161006-snap-story.html http://www.latimes.com/politics/la-na-pol-poll-faq-20161006-...