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James T. Kirk: Scotty, progress report? Montgomery Scott: Almost done, sir! You'll be fully automated by the time we dock. James T. Kirk: Your timing is excel
by booleandilemma 10y ago
James T. Kirk: Scotty, progress report?
Montgomery Scott: Almost done, sir! You'll be fully automated by the time we dock.
James T. Kirk: Your timing is excellent, Mr. Scott. You've fixed the barn door after the horse has come home. How much refit time before we can take her out again?
Montgomery Scott: Eight weeks, sir -- [Kirk opens his mouth] -- but ye don't have eight weeks, so I'll do it for ye in two.
James T. Kirk: Mr. Scott. Have you always multiplied your repair estimates by a factor of four?
Montgomery Scott: Certainly, sir. How else can I keep my reputation as a miracle worker?
James T. Kirk: [over the intercom] Your reputation is secure, Scotty.
https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=t9SVhg6ZENw https://m.youtube.com/watch?v=t9SVhg6ZENw
- cbanek 10y agoThis is good advice and I've actually followed it for estimating software projects. If you say 4x of what you think, and your boss/client doesn't balk, you probably have it right.
- haalcion3 10y agoI'm roughly between 3x and 10x off, depending on the type of work. For greenfield work on small well-understood tasks and with application and test infrastructure setup, I'm ~3x off. Constantly changing complex applications without tests, I'm ~10x off. However even these multipliers have a 1-20x margin of error.