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Yes, my hope was to point out the absurdity of this situation for an event that only happens once. It would be nice if all polls calculated a CI or probability
by platz 10y ago
Yes, my hope was to point out the absurdity of this situation for an event that only happens once.
It would be nice if all polls calculated a CI or probability distribution of their results (i know 538 does). But even 538 doesn't display their priors.
But this would confuse the public even more.. e... asking them to interpret a 95% chance to win with low confidence