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Based on past history, we can assume they have to give Trump a higher than average of the current polls chance to win.

• umanwizard 10y ago
  What do you mean?
  • lern_too_spel 10y ago
    Silver consistently underestimated Trump's chances in the primaries. He has yet to explain what he did wrong then or how he has fixed it now. If you don't want a Trump presidency, Silver's current projections shouldn't be very comforting.
    • umanwizard 10y ago
      Right, but a lot of other poll aggregators who don't have that baggage are also predicting a Clinton win, many with higher confidence than Nate Silver.
      • lern_too_spel 10y ago
        Did their polling analysis correctly predict Trump's nomination?