4 ms·
Good points. The NHST thing was invented by Neyman & Pearson as a tool for decision making, not for finding the truth.95% confidence means your intervals will b
by bayeslives 10y ago
Good points. The NHST thing was invented by Neyman & Pearson as a tool for decision making, not for finding the truth.95% confidence means your intervals will be not to far off, in 95% of all samples.
Perhaps this is nice fur Quality Asurance in factories. Where I do repeated measurements and where I want a simple YES or NO.
But science usually asks: "what can I learn from this specific data? I don't do 100 samples and I'm not interested in being "not to far off moist of the time". I want a best estimation based on this specific sample".
NHST does not give that answer. Bayes does.
- jsprogrammer 10y agoScience only asks, "Have I observed something contrary to my theories?" For non-deductive theories, the only real approach is to count the number of times you observed something agreeing with your theories vs. the total number of times you observed something (ie. p-value).