"We have, in some instances, been able to improve our forecast to the point of being able to anticipate the development of social unrest and societal instabilit

"We have, in some instances, been able to improve our forecast to the point of being able to anticipate the development of social unrest and societal instability some I think as near as three to five days out" with that in mind, i would say that they still have a lot of false positives...