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I want to update my last sentence. The rate of adoption (not the adoption percentage) is not going to perform as an S-curve. Once the adoption rate peaks, it w
by warfangle 17y ago
I want to update my last sentence.
The rate of adoption (not the adoption percentage) is not going to perform as an S-curve. Once the adoption rate peaks, it will quickly drop to zero.
In other words:
Adoption rate is likely going to increase, either linearly or exponentially (we humans are terrible at seeing exponential rate change at the beginning) until the actual adoption percentage approaches its asymptote.
This asymptote represents the technologically and financially marginalized portion of society. Adoption rate will likely be extremely slow on that end.
Adoption rate increase will likely look like an S-curve with a very sharp drop-off at the point where the actual percentage of persons adopting TVoIP technology approaches 85-90% of the population - unless an extremely inexpensive TVoIP solution (Google-funded?) is adopted.