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538 has Trump .6% ahead of Clinton, the other polls have CLinton ahead, but her highest is at 54% right now. That's basically a coin flip, not an act of god. ht

• specialist 10y ago
  Aha. Thank you. You helped me figure out Trump's angle. After he loses (badly), Trump will claim the election was rigged, stolen, whatever. Because the returns won't match the polling. An argument well worn by the left when Gore beat Bush in 2000. Please recall that Romney was surprised he lost. He too thought too much of the polls. But whereas Romney had a decent campaign, posing a credible threat, he faced the most sophisticated campaign in history, with an amazing ground game (GOTV). Comparatively, Trump has nothing resembling a campaign. A twitter account. Some campaign stops. No volunteer organization. And certainly no ground game. Rather, Trump's effort is solely about enriching Trump, a play book he's copying from Giuliani, Grigrich, and a host of other faux GOP candidates.
  • chris11 10y ago
    There's also a rumor going around that he plans to start a media company if he looses because he has some very strong supporters and he think his campaign should have been covered differently.