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I don't think we're anywhere near doctors and lawyers losing their jobs to automation. It's mostly lower class jobs.

ZenoArrow 10y ago
I'd recommend watching this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU
SomeStupidPoint 10y ago
I would argue that we're already at the point where the law industry has begun shedding paralegals and clerks because of technology, and that we'll see this rapidly accelerate, followed by AI beginning to take over the work of lawyers as such, with only a few humans overseeing the AI teams. The medical industry is likewise on the cusp of beginning to have AI assisted diagnosis, which will put a dent in the number of doctors needed for routine check-ups and supervising patient care, eg, overseeing a course of chemo (in that a single doctor will be able to oversee more cases with AI doing the heavy lifting and the human merely verifying its conclusions). The problem with AI isn't that it's going to get rid of all the people in any industry -- it's that it's going to get rid of 90% of them, skewed towards the lower skilled and entry level positions. If this happens across enough industries at the same time, it's a question of what the less talented and younger will do to be part of the economy.
- DougWebb 10y ago
  For the medical industry, it's not the doctors that are ripe for being automated away; it's all of the administrative assistants managing paperwork and offices. If the mess that's today's US medical records, billing systems, and insurance ever gets straightened out, it can all be reduced down to a data-entry system that the doctor uses directly while interacting with patients. Just about everything else could be automated.
stevetrewick 10y ago
Actually-and perhaps surprisingly-a sizeable swathe of doctors are directly in the firing line for automation and have been for some time[0]. Medical and legal expert systems have been an AI research goal from the very beginning. Economically speaking, it may make sense to automate high cost labour sooner than low cost. [0] https://www.google.co.uk/search?site=&source=hp&ei=uGnoV6-AC8eVUaq4goAH&q=ai+outperforms+doctors&oq=&gs_l=mobile-gws-hp.1.0.41l3.0.0.0.3182.1.1.0.1.1.0.67.67.1.1.0....0...1c..64.mobile-gws-hp..0.1.12.3.BgvgAtbjTys https://www.google.co.uk/search?site=&source=hp&ei=uGnoV6-AC...

I'd recommend watching this. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU

I would argue that we're already at the point where the law industry has begun shedding paralegals and clerks because of technology, and that we'll see this rapidly accelerate, followed by AI beginning to take over the work of lawyers as such, with only a few humans overseeing the AI teams. The medical industry is likewise on the cusp of beginning to have AI assisted diagnosis, which will put a dent in the number of doctors needed for routine check-ups and supervising patient care, eg, overseeing a course of chemo (in that a single doctor will be able to oversee more cases with AI doing the heavy lifting and the human merely verifying its conclusions). The problem with AI isn't that it's going to get rid of all the people in any industry -- it's that it's going to get rid of 90% of them, skewed towards the lower skilled and entry level positions. If this happens across enough industries at the same time, it's a question of what the less talented and younger will do to be part of the economy.

DougWebb 10y ago
For the medical industry, it's not the doctors that are ripe for being automated away; it's all of the administrative assistants managing paperwork and offices. If the mess that's today's US medical records, billing systems, and insurance ever gets straightened out, it can all be reduced down to a data-entry system that the doctor uses directly while interacting with patients. Just about everything else could be automated.

stevetrewick 10y ago

Actually-and perhaps surprisingly-a sizeable swathe of doctors are directly in the firing line for automation and have been for some time[0]. Medical and legal expert systems have been an AI research goal from the very beginning. Economically speaking, it may make sense to automate high cost labour sooner than low cost. [0] https://www.google.co.uk/search?site=&source=hp&ei=uGnoV6-AC8eVUaq4goAH&q=ai+outperforms+doctors&oq=&gs_l=mobile-gws-hp.1.0.41l3.0.0.0.3182.1.1.0.1.1.0.67.67.1.1.0....0...1c..64.mobile-gws-hp..0.1.12.3.BgvgAtbjTys https://www.google.co.uk/search?site=&source=hp&ei=uGnoV6-AC...