4 ms·
> This is a mess because Hanjin's top management was in denial about the possibility of bankruptcy. Just like the typical startup. Just like pretty much anybod
by johan_larson 10y ago
> This is a mess because Hanjin's top management was in denial about the possibility of bankruptcy. Just like the typical startup.
Just like pretty much anybody. Everyone keeps hoping against hope, everyone is afraid to show weakness, and nobody likes to tell the boss no. Typically the staff knows for months that the end is nigh until some minor event precipitates the final undeniable crisis.
Megan McArdle has some interesting things to say about this in her book "The Up Side of Down." Chapter 5 is about handling crises (in general) and the GM failure (in particular).
"Wagoner [the head of GM] seemed to believe that by not admitting GM might declare bankruptcy, he could somehow keep it from happening. What he thought would take place when the company ran out of cash is not clear. Nor is it clear why his executives and his board of directors nodded and said 'Yes, Rick' rather than insisting that he confront reality. Instead, they helped him sustain his delusion by formulating a mad plan to merge with Chrysler, as if strapping together two nearly bankrupt auto firms would somehow make both of them solvent."
https://www.amazon.com/Up-Side-Down-Failing-Success/dp/0143126369 https://www.amazon.com/Up-Side-Down-Failing-Success/dp/01431...
- ninja-wannabe-7 10y agoTulip-bulb, gold rush, hockeystick optimism when reality moves more like bounded diff equ's with a carrying capacity or an impulsive arc overshooting sustainability, not Malthusian exponentials forever on magic rainbows.
- Animats 10y agoYet when GM did go bankrupt in 2009, GM Legal did a great job of doing it, at least from GM's perspective. They had a prepackaged bankruptcy ready to go. They made it happen in NYC, not Detroit, by using some GM dealership in Manhattan as the base. They had a contract they forced on suppliers to keep parts flowing. (GM's terms were very tough; they didn't want to pay pre-bankruptcy debts or pay for custom tooling made but not paid for, but demanded suppliers keep shipping to them post-bankruptcy on extended payment terms.) That got them through the first few weeks without shutting down the business. Then there was a major downsizing; all the bad stuff went to Motors Liquidation Corp., and the new GM Company kept the good stuff. Hanjin just stopped in place for weeks. No plan.