If you phrased it "the average person has a far better chance of becoming a millionare by careful career and money management" I'd have agreed with you. The av

If you phrased it "the average person has a far better chance of becoming a millionare by careful career and money management" I'd have agreed with you. The average person is not suited to starting a startup. But for the 1% of people who are suited to it-- the ones sufficiently smart and determined-- the odds are actually reasonably good. I'm not sure what you mean about it having been disproven that starting a startup is a bad way to make money. Presumably the same sort of statistical evidence that would prove that randomly selected people can't do anything hard. But what matters to someone asking this question is not whether random people could do it, but whether they could, and if the right sort of person is asking the question, the answer becomes very different. If the young Bill Gates is asking the question, the odds of making FU money are close to 100%. (Microsoft was already doing well before they got lucky with the DOS deal.)