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A more cynical view is that they keep hammering it home because Trump's outreach to black voters is working enough that it has become electorally significant [0
by imron 10y ago
A more cynical view is that they keep hammering it home because Trump's outreach to black voters is working enough that it has become electorally significant [0].
Polls show he currently has historically high support among black voters - and not just for himself, but out of any Republican candidate over the last few decades [1], and it's high enough that it could tip the election.
0: http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/ http://graphics.latimes.com/usc-presidential-poll-dashboard/ (scroll to 'by race/ethnicity').
1: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/06/11/how-black-voters-could-determine-the-2016-election/ https://www.washingtonpost.com/news/the-fix/wp/2015/06/11/ho...
- akhilcacharya 10y agoThat's unlikely. The LATimes tracking poll is known to be unorthodox in its methodology, it's meant to track fluctuations in support more than actual support. Trump has not broken ~6% in any other swing state polls or national polls that I've seen, sometimes he's in 4th place behind Johnson and Stein. As it turns out, delegitimizing and spreading conspiracy theories about a wildly popular president in a community does not make people in a community fans of you. Most analysts don't think the outreach was targeted at black voters at all, but rather white moderates, who are more persuadable and numerous in number. 0: http://www.vox.com/2016/8/24/12587672/donald-trump-s-black-outreach-isn-t-for-black-voters-it-s-for-wavering-white-republicans http://www.vox.com/2016/8/24/12587672/donald-trump-s-black-o...