4 ms·
There's at least one other survey that did the same trick - turned ~80% agreement in a big group into 97% in a minuscule subsample. Additionally, John Cook -
by glenra 10y ago
There's at least one other survey that did the same trick - turned ~80% agreement in a big group into 97% in a minuscule subsample.
Additionally, John Cook - the guy who runs skepticalscience - did some studies claiming to find high agreement with "the consensus" among published papers about climate. But his paper were terrible, didn't show what he claimed they did, and were less relevant to your claim.
Here's a blogpost going into some issues with the Cook studies and the claims made for them:
http://daviddfriedman.blogspot.com/2014/02/a-climate-falsehood-you-can-check-for.html http://daviddfriedman.blogspot.com/2014/02/a-climate-falseho...
The difference between disagreeing with 80%-ish and 97% is largely of rhetorical importance. For propaganda purposes it feels like the difference between "a respectable minority view" and "a lunatic fringe". Alas, scientists almost never agree on ANYTHING to the 97% level. So if you hear that level claimed, the best bet is that somebody either fudged with the question - watering it down to such a degree that all the "skeptics" also agree - or fudged with the sample pool, making the surveyed group so tiny and self-selected as to exclude lots of legitimate scientists in related fields.