4 ms·

You are market timing.

• asmithmd1 10y ago
  Yes I am. Trump will probably lose and I will have lower returns this year. Would I be market timing if instead of moving out of the market to avoid the Trump winning risk, I borrowed money to buy shares in an election market? https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres16_quotes.html https://iemweb.biz.uiowa.edu/quotes/Pres16_quotes.html If Trump wins, I triple the money I put into election shares but lose in my 401k. If Trump loses, the increase in my 401k will cover my loss in the election market.
  • wtvanhest 10y ago
    I don't think you understand the basics of investing.
    • asmithmd1 10y ago
      I laid out two strategies to hedge a specific, finite duration risk. Instead of an ad hominem attack, do you have any comments on either strategy?
      • wtvanhest 10y ago
        What if trump loses and the market goes down?
        • loeg 10y ago
          What if trump wins and the market goes up, too? Things that "everyone knows" are already priced in.
          • wtvanhest 10y ago
            Yup, exactly