4 ms·
1 could happen 2 would be interesting but incredibly unlikely 3 would be voted down by the many countries that have non trivial problems with internal divisio
by Normal_gaussian 10y ago
1 could happen
2 would be interesting but incredibly unlikely
3 would be voted down by the many countries that have non trivial problems with internal divisions
4 can't happen
- thomasahle 10y agoI take it 4 can't happen because the article has to be invoked by the leaving country. However surely there is another article for just kicking a country out of the union?
- Normal_gaussian 10y agoPresumably. However it is not in the interests of the other nations or the beaurocracy to have the UK leave. The UK is a net contributor to the EU. If the funds it provides are pulled then the other contributors must contribute more or achieve less. The recipients will receive less either way. The UK leaving weakens the EU significantly. It will also weaken the UK, but make no mistake the best interests of most in power are served by drawing this process out. On top of that you have to remember that many other nations have severe EU doubts. Key amongst them are France and the Netherlands, two large contributors. An EU collapse could occur if either or both of these leave. Why would they leave if the UK is kicked out? It's an overtly aggressive move against EU skeptics. Aggressive moves have a long history of causing increased support for the target. Refusing to offer good deals once the UK has left will not be viewed as aggressive.