"To sidestep the randomness of observed outcomes, we focus on modeling the probability of a successful outcome for a given case. Secondly, to account for the co

"To sidestep the randomness of observed outcomes, we focus on modeling the probability of a successful outcome for a given case. Secondly, to account for the context or difficulty of the case, we measure the change in the probability of a successful litigation outcome, from substituting a legal service provider in. The difficulty of the case is not important, but rather the impact a legal service provider has on that original probability of success. From now on, we will refer to this measure as the impact on expected performance. This substitution exercise is known as a counterfactual, as we apply the substitutions to historical data." ----------------- how exactly did they model the probability of successful outcomes for given cases? because those depend on highly detailed fact patterns, many of which are largely qualitative in nature if they were actually able to put all those in a data base that you could then model that'd be a more interesting accomplishment to read about