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Why can't Uber purchase a fleet of vehicles and let humans drive them? They can still have some auto-pilot functionality. Let's say at time T=0, a few million

Why can't Uber purchase a fleet of vehicles and let humans drive them? They can still have some auto-pilot functionality. Let's say at time T=0, a few million Uber cars are parked or on the road. Users enter their travel plans into the app, and also indicate whether they are will to make an extra stop or more, whether they can drive a leg, or whether they desire a solo/express route. Then they either walk out to the parking lot and start driving, or wait to be picked up. So now, everyone in the Uber cars exists on this spectrum: Express Passenger -> Driver for my leg -> Driver plus a little extra -> Driver plus a lot extra -> Full time Uber driver. Let the market and scheduling algorithms work out getting people and cars to the right places are the right time. Now I don't need to own a car and we don't need to have highly functional self-driving vehicles.

vertex-four 10y ago
In practice, people who don't own a car, but can afford to rent one on a semi-regular basis, also don't really want to drive much.
LrnByTeach 10y ago
You got pretty good point, wait a year from today, couple of those 5 Driver profiles you mentioned above will be available from Uber . I will take this to next step, By JUNE 2018 when you have 200 miles(battery) Electric cars are on roads (from Nissan, Tesla), Uber offer above all the 5 Driver profiles . At the end of the day Cars will be parked in your drive way ( if you signup ) and you take care of charging overnight( after 11 PM to get electricity at 1/4 cost) in return Uber will give you UBER Milage credits which you can use whenever you /family rides. These Uber milage credits are especially attractive to many casual drivers ( non Full time) and also good for UBER as they give only Credits(keeping 100% of fare cash) and it also put pressure on FULL time Drivers cut which is 80% today as more CASUAL driver pool is available in this new scheme . Parking cars on People garage is economical compared on centralized location As it takes extra time to get cars back to neighborhoods where people need morning rides and also Uber saves on Real estate cost . UBER may have some centralized locations for Cars maintenance/repairs etc.. When 100% self-driving is ready by 2020/2021 ( both from Govt. regulation and technology side), All you have is Electric Self-driving Software Powered Cars (ESS Cars) parked all over in your neighborhood people Parking LOTS ( People get Mileage Credit for allowing their parking LOTS) and unlock and drive TO YOU from your mobile Phone . [Ford says 100% self-driving in 5 years](http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/16/technology/ford-self-driving-cars-five-years/ http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/16/technology/ford-self-driving...)
- LrnByTeach 10y ago
  Here is some rough figures of Ride Price some very rough figures: https://www.quora.com/How-much-will-a-ride-cost-in-a-Google-self-driving-car https://www.quora.com/How-much-will-a-ride-cost-in-a-Google-... - Personal vehicles cost roughly 60¢/mile to own if you have a car payment, according to AAA -- or 2¢/minute, obviously keeping in mind that you pay for every minute you own the car, regardless of whether you use it. - Taxis in NYC and Chicago run about $2.00/mi, or 50¢/min if you're going nowhere in traffic. - Uber depends on the city, but let's say $1.00/mi, or 20¢/min. Both Uber and traditional taxis have other fees they tack on, as a reminder. So, the cost will be competitive initially: likely no higher than $1.00/mi or 30¢/min with it getting as cheap as someone wants it to be for the sake of driving adoption. When you hit critical mass with an autonomous fleet, you could likely see fees below 20¢/minute (minute will likely be the dominant metric) to run a profitable model as we know it today. With Mass adoption of Electric Autonomous vehicles, if it is offered at 40 cents/mile that that is cheaper than OWNING your own Car ---------------- 1/ Uber drivers in the U.S. collected an average $13.36 per trip, while Lyft drivers took $12.53 for each ride, according to a new report. http://time.com/money/3959091/uber-lyft-price-per-trip/ http://time.com/money/3959091/uber-lyft-price-per-trip/ 2/ Uber gets 20% cut of that ride price that is $3 3/ It seems average ride time is 15 minutes

vertex-four 10y ago

In practice, people who don't own a car, but can afford to rent one on a semi-regular basis, also don't really want to drive much.

LrnByTeach 10y ago

You got pretty good point, wait a year from today, couple of those 5 Driver profiles you mentioned above will be available from Uber . I will take this to next step, By JUNE 2018 when you have 200 miles(battery) Electric cars are on roads (from Nissan, Tesla), Uber offer above all the 5 Driver profiles . At the end of the day Cars will be parked in your drive way ( if you signup ) and you take care of charging overnight( after 11 PM to get electricity at 1/4 cost) in return Uber will give you UBER Milage credits which you can use whenever you /family rides. These Uber milage credits are especially attractive to many casual drivers ( non Full time) and also good for UBER as they give only Credits(keeping 100% of fare cash) and it also put pressure on FULL time Drivers cut which is 80% today as more CASUAL driver pool is available in this new scheme . Parking cars on People garage is economical compared on centralized location As it takes extra time to get cars back to neighborhoods where people need morning rides and also Uber saves on Real estate cost . UBER may have some centralized locations for Cars maintenance/repairs etc.. When 100% self-driving is ready by 2020/2021 ( both from Govt. regulation and technology side), All you have is Electric Self-driving Software Powered Cars (ESS Cars) parked all over in your neighborhood people Parking LOTS ( People get Mileage Credit for allowing their parking LOTS) and unlock and drive TO YOU from your mobile Phone . [Ford says 100% self-driving in 5 years](http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/16/technology/ford-self-driving-cars-five-years/ http://money.cnn.com/2016/08/16/technology/ford-self-driving...)

LrnByTeach 10y ago
Here is some rough figures of Ride Price some very rough figures: https://www.quora.com/How-much-will-a-ride-cost-in-a-Google-self-driving-car https://www.quora.com/How-much-will-a-ride-cost-in-a-Google-... - Personal vehicles cost roughly 60¢/mile to own if you have a car payment, according to AAA -- or 2¢/minute, obviously keeping in mind that you pay for every minute you own the car, regardless of whether you use it. - Taxis in NYC and Chicago run about $2.00/mi, or 50¢/min if you're going nowhere in traffic. - Uber depends on the city, but let's say $1.00/mi, or 20¢/min. Both Uber and traditional taxis have other fees they tack on, as a reminder. So, the cost will be competitive initially: likely no higher than $1.00/mi or 30¢/min with it getting as cheap as someone wants it to be for the sake of driving adoption. When you hit critical mass with an autonomous fleet, you could likely see fees below 20¢/minute (minute will likely be the dominant metric) to run a profitable model as we know it today. With Mass adoption of Electric Autonomous vehicles, if it is offered at 40 cents/mile that that is cheaper than OWNING your own Car ---------------- 1/ Uber drivers in the U.S. collected an average $13.36 per trip, while Lyft drivers took $12.53 for each ride, according to a new report. http://time.com/money/3959091/uber-lyft-price-per-trip/ http://time.com/money/3959091/uber-lyft-price-per-trip/ 2/ Uber gets 20% cut of that ride price that is $3 3/ It seems average ride time is 15 minutes