Probabilities could be correctly applied only for fully observable and well defined cases like of an unbiased dice or a fair coin. Everything else is a misappli

Probabilities could be correctly applied only for fully observable and well defined cases like of an unbiased dice or a fair coin. Everything else is a misapplication and should be regarded as a type error. Frequency based approach is the right tool, but it could explain nothing about the partially observable phenomena, except partial statistics of the outcomes observed so far. Attempts to derive any causal relationships from statistics of a partially observed phenomena which is not fully understood and well-defined is unscientific and is the source of so many misleading "studies" and overconfident decisions and policies. The observations that the sun is raising each day on the east does not tell anything about whether or not and why it will raise there tomorrow. Only physics offer a causal explanation.