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Didn't the CIA have some experiment where they pooled a bunch of folks that were really good at guessing world events? Their constructions sounds awfully famili
by dkarapetyan 10y ago
Didn't the CIA have some experiment where they pooled a bunch of folks that were really good at guessing world events? Their constructions sounds awfully familiar to that experiment.
- esja 10y agoIARPA ran something like that: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aggregative_Contingent_Estimation https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Aggregative_Contingent_Estimat...