The majority of the discussion on the topic is not claiming we are on the cusp. It is claiming that it is a) a danger; b) likely to be fast if it happens. Almo

The majority of the discussion on the topic is not claiming we are on the cusp. It is claiming that it is a) a danger; b) likely to be fast if it happens. Almost maximally irrelevant to a claim that nothing significant has happened recently, so not a problem.