5 ms·
Mitigation is the key word here. The best-case scenario is that over the next 30 years we ramp down our greenhouse emissions to zero, and the planet warms up b
by strommen 10y ago
Mitigation is the key word here.
The best-case scenario is that over the next 30 years we ramp down our greenhouse emissions to zero, and the planet warms up by ~2 degrees Celsius and stays there.
We're not currently on track for this, but it's still achievable (or close to it).
The worst-case scenario is that we do nothing at all to solve the problem, and the planet warms up by 10+ degrees over the next century.
And the temperature would continue to increase until we literally run out of fossil fuels to burn.
There's a big difference between 2 and 10 degrees warming.
I think modern civilization could survive the former, not so sure about the latter.
- curiousgeorgio 10y ago> and the planet warms up by ~2 degrees Celsius and stays there Everything I've read from the "experts" seems to suggest that we're experiencing a runaway trend that realistically cannot be stopped, regardless of what we do. Why should we believe 10 degrees, 2 degrees, or any of the figures mentioned are possible, probable, or frankly anything more than numbers pulled from a hat when they've been absolutely wrong, pretty much every time an "expert" has made predictions for more than about 5 years (and not just wrong by a hair, but by orders of magnitude)?
- infinite8s 10y agoDo you have any references to a scientific expert making a prediction that was off by orders of magnitude?
- antisthenes 10y agoAFAIK, we're already committed to a 2C rise by 2100 even if we stop any and all CO2 emissions today. And those models don't take into account potential feedback loops.