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Do you have any data demonstrating this will happen?
by jganetsk 10y ago
Do you have any data demonstrating this will happen?
- sosuke 10y agoI guess they assume, like I do, that the current set of coders will continue to age. Will the current 20 year old coders shun 40 year old candidates in 20 years?
- jganetsk 10y agoCurrent set of coders will continue to age, but they may also stop identifying as coders. Maybe because of ageism.
- ocdtrekkie 10y agoIs the software development industry not bigger than it was twenty years ago? Developers still age. Ergo, as development as an industry grows, at a delayed rate, the number of aging developers will also grow.
- jganetsk 10y agoThat assumes they remain being developers as they age.
- ocdtrekkie 10y agoI suppose, but the cost of a career switch to a job that is similar or greater in pay is quite high. What do you think is the likely place a developer who is 25 today will be in 20 years?
- ewjordan 10y agoSee http://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-2/images/2-9-chart2.png http://www.bls.gov/opub/btn/volume-2/images/2-9-chart2.png A large number of the people that made up the 3x growth in IT between 1990 and 2000 are just about to hit 40 now. That's a very rough measure, just looking at overall industry size over time (and granted, it's IT rather than startups), but it at least mildly suggests that the demographics are going to start flattening a bit as we hit more of a steady state rather than a period of extreme growth.