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Of course, this theory of discrimination is only applicable when minorities are fundamentally different from majorities. I.e., if the same ruleset is accurate f
by yummyfajitas 10y ago
Of course, this theory of discrimination is only applicable when minorities are fundamentally different from majorities. I.e., if the same ruleset is accurate for both whites and blacks (i.e., "I don't care about race, if he puts 20% down he's good"), this argument doesn't work at all - you can train your model on everyone and it'll work just fine.
However, if blacks and whites need to be treated fundamentally differently in order to make accurate loan decisions, then this argument applies. I.e., perhaps whites need a 20% downpayment for a loan to be financially a good risk but blacks need 40% (or vice versa).
I wonder how many people calling algorithms racist will endorse this conclusion. It sounds kind of...racist.
(Note that I don't use "racist" a synonym for "factually incorrect" or "we should not consider this idea", but merely "this sounds like the kind of thing a white nationalist might say, or Trump would be criticized for if he said".)
- 67726e 10y ago> a Trump voter Is that really necessary? Some of us are treating the political system like a blackbox, I'm just sending a different corrupt payload at it to see what the output is.
- yummyfajitas 10y agoPerhaps not. I've altered it.
- deleted 10y ago[deleted]
- danso 10y agoYes, blacks are fundamentally different from whites in terms of the available data to train algorithms on: http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/31/nyregion/hudson-city-bank-settlement.html http://www.nytimes.com/2015/10/31/nyregion/hudson-city-bank-... > The government’s analysis of the bank’s lending data shows that Hudson’s competitors generated nearly three times as many home loan applications from predominantly black and Hispanic communities as Hudson did in a region that includes New York City, Westchester County and North Jersey, and more than 10 times as many home loan applications from black and Hispanic communities in the market that includes Camden, N.J. That's of course, just recent history. Redlining that occurred in the 1960s on would be enough to adversely affect the housing history data of minority groups even today. Treating everyone equal in the eyes of the algorithm is certainly an easy route to go but as the non-algorithm expert MLK Jr. pointed out: > Whenever the issue of compensatory treatment for the Negro is raised, some of our friends recoil in horror. The Negro should be granted equality, they agree; but he should ask nothing more. On the surface, this appears reasonable, but it is not realistic.
- yummyfajitas 10y agoDid you read what I wrote? Available data on blacks specifically is completely irrelevant if blacks and whites aren't fundamentally different. The white model will generalize. If repayment probability for blacks and whites alike is is A x downpayment_fraction + B x credit_score, you can use training data from whites and the model will accurately predict black repayment probability. It only fails if you actually need A' and B' for blacks. As an example, maybe for whites A = 1.0 and for blacks A' = 0.75. In that case the optimal decision is to demand higher lending standards for blacks - a black person with a 40% downpayment would be treated the same as a white person with a 30% downpayment. Is this your belief?
- danso 10y agoOK, I guess I'm supposed to agree with you if I beg the question that "available data on blacks specifically is completely irrelevant"...? I do think that the distribution of data specific to blacks is relevant.
- yummyfajitas 10y agoOk, so now we have all acknowledged that we are "race realists" or "scientific racists" in this conversation. ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_racism https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Scientific_racism ) Anyway we've now accepted blacks and whites may behave differently. For example, lets suppose we have all the training data we need to accurately recognize that one race doesn't pay back their loans as much as others, all else held equal. What should we do about it? Concretely, how many bad loans should we issue in the name of "fairness"? How large a subsidy must the responsible races pay to the deadbeat ones?
- danso 10y agoI don't know if I nor Dr. King Jr. have to subscribe to scientific racism just because we subscribe to the reality that folks with of different racial backgrounds have a higher probability of being shortchanged historically. And thus, that any machine learning approach that doesn't factor this in will risk perpetuating such disadvantages, which kind of defeats the ostensible purpose for using machine learning to apply public policy in the first place.
- tlb 10y agoIn that case of being treated differently (requiring a different amount of downpayment as security), it's probably racist. More common and less controversial is the case when the signals are in different channels. For instance, when dealing with immigrants, US banks often fail to see any signal at all because their credit reporting only covers US institutions, and they don't know how to verify employment or schooling abroad. So to start making loans to immigrants from any given country, they need to figure out what the signals are (job, schooling, ...) and how they correlate with risk.
- agentcoops 10y agoLives of members of social groups can be different for historical reasons. Because of this, the best selection of features (as in, how we select and encode relevant aspects of a dataset for a particular problem) that one would need to use, as well as the correlations between them, may be different between different groups. The question is not whether there is fundamentally a difference between, in this case, racial groups vis-a-vis paying back loans (i.e. that the only feature required in your model would be "is member of this group"), but what are the traits of possibilities of life that have for whatever reason ended up leaving a quantifiable trace in our databases and their distribution within that group. One hypothetical example: suppose that there existed a group G that was not able to go to the top n% of universities due to discrimination. Your company uses some rank of university attended as one of the features input to its favorite machine learning algorithm. However, the dataset you trained on excluded group G. Within this group, the best university individuals have been able to attend is X which is by definition not in the top n%. Had the algorithm been trained on this group it would have observed that school X is highly correlated with success in this group, even if not in the original training set used. As is, your ML system assigns a low probability to members of group G. Issues like this will be hard to prevent. While that doesn't mean we shouldn't work hard to make real innovations in ML, I think the legal approach of a "right to explanation" as analyzed in http://arxiv.org/pdf/1606.08813v3.pdf http://arxiv.org/pdf/1606.08813v3.pdf and recently added to European law is regardless a helpful tool to ensure accountability.
- yummyfajitas 10y agoYes, if your training data excludes relevant features then you can't use them. No one disputes this. However, once you start including such people in your training data, these issues are not hard to prevent. In fact, ML systems will often do this accidentally even when you don't want them to (when the sign of the bias has the politically incorrect direction). It's called redundant encoding. See the section of my blog post "What if we scrub race, but redundantly encode it?" where I do calculations to show the effect of this: https://www.chrisstucchio.com/blog/2016/alien_intelligences_and_discriminatory_algorithms.html https://www.chrisstucchio.com/blog/2016/alien_intelligences_... In short, if your data is biased against a group, but you include group membership either directly or via redundant encoding, your algorithm will fix the bias as best it can. The entire purpose of machine learning is to discover hidden features and correlations in messy data, so I fail to see why this is considered surprising. I generally consider the "right to explanation" to be a fairly transparent attempt by the EU to keep American tech companies out of Europe. The entire purpose of ML is that it can uncover true facts that humans can't. The right to explanation is just an attempt to hobble this power, probably because few Euro companies can do it.