To look at it another way - assume you want to hire somebody and you have no idea what they do. How do you trust the picture of disaster that they're painting i

To look at it another way - assume you want to hire somebody and you have no idea what they do. How do you trust the picture of disaster that they're painting if you fire them? The answer is nearly always you have some (poor) rules of thumb and you're skeptical of the ones who say that they're 10x better than the rest.