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Right. Like I said, no catastrophic launch failures. They did build things robustly back when the US still had a manned space program. I wonder how well a Spa
by reddog 10y ago
Right. Like I said, no catastrophic launch failures.
They did build things robustly back when the US still had a manned space program. I wonder how well a SpaceX rocket would do if it was struck by lightning as it left the pad.
Then again, Apollo 11 couldn't land on a barge. However it could land on the moon with two humans on board and then take off again and return then safely to earth. 47 years ago.
- dredmorbius 10y agoThere's a hierarchy of severity that's expected in industrial accidents, as I've recently learned running across a reference to the concept. The work was done a long time ago -- ~1930s - 1950s, and I think the earlier part of that period. It's used fairly heavily in the insurance industry still, from what I understand. (I'm being a little vague because I can't immediately turn up that reference, I'll take a look for it.) The upshot is that if you've got a base incident / accident / failure rate, you can predict with a fairly high degree of accuracy the likelihood of major accidents -- fatalities, major injuries, or catastrophic to plant and equipment. (Now to see if I can find that.) Here: H. W. Heinrich, Industrial accident prevention: a scientific approach (1959) The publication date is later than I'd thought, but the data were collected much earlier -- 1931. https://www.worldcat.org/title/industrial-accident-prevention-a-scientific-approach/oclc/233059&referer=space_alien_cat https://www.worldcat.org/title/industrial-accident-preventio... Which I'd originally turned up ... through a NASA accidents presentation: http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/codeq/accident/accident.pdf http://www.hq.nasa.gov/office/codeq/accident/accident.pdf