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For ordinary investors, the housing bubble was a tricky thing to play. There were two public companies that had CDS portfolios where they stood to make a lot o
by jakarta 17y ago
For ordinary investors, the housing bubble was a tricky thing to play.
There were two public companies that had CDS portfolios where they stood to make a lot of money. A direct equity investment or LEAPS would have worked well there. I took this approach.
Alternatively, it seems like out the money puts on financial institutions would have done really well. Michael Lewis chronicles a few guys from Cornwall Capital that made something like 100:1 payouts on out the money puts for Bear Stearns. These guys crushed it when Bear went BK. This cheap insurance approach is used by a few really well known investors and it is the one I'm gravitating towards for the future.
- mistermann 17y agoYa, out of the money puts was the route I took as well. However, when the company you buy puts in suddenly takes on a couple hundred million of new debt in order to do a share buy back so the CEO can cash his shares out, puts don't perform too well. Nor do they do so well when the SEC decides to suddenly ban short selling on a certain subset of stocks.