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> Will this be the fate of today's "brogrammers" in their 40s? Even if software eats software development, today's "brogrammers" will still be in good shape, h

> Will this be the fate of today's "brogrammers" in their 40s? Even if software eats software development, today's "brogrammers" will still be in good shape, having a working knowledge of technology. The people who are currently in good shape who are more at risk, in my opinion, are the millions of Accounting and Finance professionals who use Excel all day.

ams6110 10y ago
the millions of Accounting and Finance professionals who use Excel all day. Just like they did 20 years ago? The trend doesn't seem to be that those jobs are going anywhere.
- seizethecheese 10y ago
  If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future.
  - sevenless 10y ago
    Sorry to be a smartass, but isn't this post self-refuting?
    - seizethecheese 10y ago
      I don't think so. For example, newspaper profits were near their all time high in 2008[1]. Following trends of newspaper profitability would not have lead an observer to predict the massive collapse of that industry in the subsequent years. [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_newspapers https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_newspapers
      - sevenless 10y ago
        What I'm saying is that > If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future. is itself an observation about current trends in the efficacy of predicting the future, and therefore, if it's true, must be false.
        jessaustin 10y ago
        The statement is unconditional and timeless. It says something about the concept of "current trends", but it does not reference current trends to bolster its argument. E.g., examining current trends now isn't held to be less useful than examining them fifty years ago would have been. The statement could still be wrong, but not for the reason you cite.
        sevenless 10y ago
        But the only way to justify such a statement would be to point to... current trends. As the OP did.
  - flukus 10y ago
    > If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future. Yes you will, and quite well. You'll miss the fundamental shifts though, but there is no way to predict them anyway.

ams6110 10y ago

the millions of Accounting and Finance professionals who use Excel all day. Just like they did 20 years ago? The trend doesn't seem to be that those jobs are going anywhere.

seizethecheese 10y ago
If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future.
- sevenless 10y ago
  Sorry to be a smartass, but isn't this post self-refuting?
  - seizethecheese 10y ago
    I don't think so. For example, newspaper profits were near their all time high in 2008[1]. Following trends of newspaper profitability would not have lead an observer to predict the massive collapse of that industry in the subsequent years. [1]: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_newspapers https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Decline_of_newspapers
    - sevenless 10y ago
      What I'm saying is that > If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future. is itself an observation about current trends in the efficacy of predicting the future, and therefore, if it's true, must be false.
      - jessaustin 10y ago
        The statement is unconditional and timeless. It says something about the concept of "current trends", but it does not reference current trends to bolster its argument. E.g., examining current trends now isn't held to be less useful than examining them fifty years ago would have been. The statement could still be wrong, but not for the reason you cite.
        sevenless 10y ago
        But the only way to justify such a statement would be to point to... current trends. As the OP did.
- flukus 10y ago
  > If you depend on current trends for you thinking, you'll never predict the future. Yes you will, and quite well. You'll miss the fundamental shifts though, but there is no way to predict them anyway.