Most people (especially pundits) are terrible at predicting the future. If you want to get better, you should read "Superforecasting" by Tetlock. [1] https://

Most people (especially pundits) are terrible at predicting the future. If you want to get better, you should read "Superforecasting" by Tetlock. [1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expert_Political_Judgment:_How_Good_Is_It https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Expert_Political_Judgment:_How... [2] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Superforecasting