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This sort of calculation is missing the forest for the trees. Right now, wind is providing 5% of the US power supply. Plants are becoming substantially less exp
by beat 10y ago
This sort of calculation is missing the forest for the trees. Right now, wind is providing 5% of the US power supply. Plants are becoming substantially less expensive as technology improves and economies of scale come to the fore. That's mostly Midwestern ground power. Sea-based wind plants are more efficient due to more consistent wind.
Nuclear power provides about 20% of the US consumption, and there's no need to shut down existing nuclear plants as wind comes online. So just increasing wind output by 15x would more or less cover America's needs. With lots of untapped shoreline and lots of untapped Midwestern plains (not to mention new tech making previously unviable locations viable), it doesn't seem outrageous.
The missing key here is energy storage, not energy generation. Storage is how you optimize utilization. When plants produce excess power, capture and store, and release when the wind isn't blowing. Even with thermal losses, this gets us in the ballpark of 100% utilization. And there's a ton of investment in this field right now.
As for this plant, it wasn't built to make money on electricity. It was built to learn how to build offshore wind in the US, to deal with the technology and political pressures. The goal is to be able to build a thousand times this capacity, or more.
- sandworm101 10y ago>> When plants produce excess power, capture and store ... this gets us in the ballpark of 100% utilization. No. That is getting to 100% by changing the measurements. I was talking about utilization of the turbines, total power production, not how the plant regulated its power output. A plant with storage will still generate more or less power as the wind changes. That they use storage to regulate their output doesn't alter the fact that the turbines are not running at capacity 100% of the time. So the math as to how many turbines are needed to generate a specific amount of power holds.
- beat 10y agoAnd how is this fundamentally different from partial dial-down of coal or nuclear plants for routine maintenance?