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What Percentage of Your Worries Come True?

• johansch 10y ago
  99% of the things I predict will not come true, both good and bad. [Citation needed]
  • sp527 10y ago
    > [Citation needed] Not if your name is James Altucher. boom headshot
  • coldtea 10y ago
    No, it's not really needed at all. First, it's a casual turn of phrase -- he means "most of them". Is the art of the conversation completely lost? Second, he speaks of his own personal experience, so there are no citations. Unless some team of statisticians studied him, he is the utmost authority on the matter (of his own life), and others can just take his claim or leave it. What they won't get is a citation -- or rather, he just gave you the citation, his own. A lot of people have forgotten to think independently -- without Cliff's Notes and citations to give them pre-digested knowledge. Heck, most papers, even in hard sciences, have been found in meta-studies to be worse than 50% right and not reproducible either -- so unless someone plans to reproduce and further study a paper on their own to verify the results, having a citation is almost the same as flipping a coin to decide on the matter, as far as the truth of the subject is concerned.