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Agreed 100%. I'd be amazed if a stage 4 autonomous vehicle existed in less than 5 years, honestly I'd guess closer to 10. I do think highway driving can be fu
by jayjay71 10y ago
Agreed 100%. I'd be amazed if a stage 4 autonomous vehicle existed in less than 5 years, honestly I'd guess closer to 10. I do think highway driving can be fully automated within 2-3 years, so Otto makes a ton of sense.
I actually think because the rewards are so great, and the technology is so difficult, that infrastructure will change before the tech. There are things you can do to drastically reduce the complexity, like install smart traffic lights and have cars talk to each other, in addition to special road markings designed for self-driving cars.
CMU has been working on self-driving cars since 1984, people seem to think nobody was doing anything before Google (and they also think that Google's cars are far more capable than they are). Yes, money makes a difference, but sometimes reality just disagrees with profit. And if there's something startups are good at, it's hyping themselves up to jack up valuations.